The situation in Catalonia may feel intractable, but there is still room for a compromise, I argue in my latest contribution to the Foreign Policy Research Institute’s Geopoliticus blog.
When Catalans are asked to choose between staying in Spain and declaring independence, nearly one in two would now opt to break away.
But when becoming a federal state of Spain is added as a third option, support for independence falls to 40 percent.
The combined share of Catalans who are content with the status quo or want Spain to become a federation is almost 50 percent.
That suggests the promise of more autonomy for the region could convince the majority of Catalans they are better off remaining Spanish after all.
The question is, is this something the ruling party in Madrid — which has for years sought to curtail Catalan home rule — will entertain?
Click here to read the rest.